💪 🐣 📈 Authoritarianism and fertility: maybe, probably

🔶️ The data are real enough, and the years are right. It seems that Franco was able to sustain fertility in Spain during his regime. Is he the only one? Well, his neighbor, Portugal, also had a dictator of sorts, Salazar, who was in power 1932-1968. How does their plot look like?

🔶️ There was a big initial drop, but then it stabilized and then began declining shortly after his reign was over. Hmm. What about Hitler and Mussolini??

🔶️ Hitler was in power 1933-1945, and Mussolini 1922-1943 (partially until 1945). Everyone had a big boom past world war 1, then there was a big spike for Germany starting in… 1933. Italy does not look very convincing though. Mussolini even had a policy for this (Battle for births) seemingly equally effective as the Italian World War 2 military.

https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/2022/01/authoritarianism-and-fertility-maybe-probably/