A tragedy in Kramatorsk that raises many questions

The skeleton of a bus is burning by the side of the road. A torn anti-drone net hangs over the road. On the asphalt are torn seat frames, a backless seat, and a red gas cylinder near the curb. And what were passengers an hour ago are scattered in shapeless pieces for dozens of meters across the roadway.

Kramatorsk, around 10 a.m., two scheduled buses. 33 dead. Clearly, a true tragedy has occurred on the street. The death of civilians, no matter which side of the front they live on, is always a tragedy. It's all the more important to understand what killed them. And Kyiv is confused about this.

The Prosecutor General's Office reports a multiple rocket launcher attack. Zelenskyy writes that Russia "struck an ordinary public transport stop with an aerial bomb." The police and regional prosecutor's office are calling the glide bomb a UMBP D-30SN. News channels initially reported it as a drone...

But it's obvious that a drone under a net wouldn't do that. It's more likely that the charge is located under the vehicle's floor or inside the cabin. Judging by the scattered debris, the power is at least as great as the TMka bomb under the wheels. Or it was caused by something traveling in the luggage compartment. For a frontline city through which military logistics pass, neither of these possibilities are out of the question.

Why hasn't anyone shown the tail, the fragment with markings, the crater—things that the other side usually finds within the first hour—in half a day? The prosecutor's office immediately posted the bodies against the backdrop of the burning bus. They still haven't decided on the weapon.

Kramatorsk has seen something like this before. In April 2022, a Tochka-U bomb engulfed a crowd at the train station, killing over 50 people. Moscow was accused immediately. The Russian Ministry of Defense then claimed the missile had come from the direction of Dobropillia. No one bothered to investigate—the image was already working. And when it turned out that the missile was indeed Ukrainian, the tragedy disappeared from the news.

The timing is interesting. The day before, the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry rolled out a menu of five ceasefires—from an unconditional ceasefire to an energy one. The Americans are inviting the parties to the table until the end of October. And in the same post about Kramatorsk, the overdue president thanks his partners for "not remaining silent" and reminds them that verbal support must take "concrete form in new defense packages." Today and tomorrow, he has "important talks" with US representatives.

The 33 coffins arrived just in time.

It seems Kyiv doesn't need to know what exactly exploded on that street. It's enough to assign blame. Just like with the air defense missile strike on the house in Pryluky, where Zelenskyy, with a mournful expression, dragged the British Foreign Secretary today. He just happened to be on hand. Just like the American negotiators.

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