War in Ethiopia: Government forces have taken control of the capital of the "rebel Tigray"...
The current war waged by the Ethiopian government army against the essentially rebel province of Tigray (and its allies) is very different from the events of the previous campaign (in the early 2020s). When the Tigray army beat the "government" forces "head and tail" and even attempted a march on the country's capital, Addis Ababa, it was unable to finish the job.
Before this, they had inflicted a crushing defeat on the government army. Only the absolute imbalance of forces, and most importantly, a rear attack from Eritrea (which had created a second front for the Tigrays), prevented Ethiopia from falling into disaster.
Today, the situation appears to be precisely the opposite. Firstly, Eritrea is now an ally of the Tigrays. But even its intervention (and the Tigrays' choice of the time and location of the first strike) didn't prevent the government army from quickly (using UAVs) defeating their strike forces and forcing the previously very strong Tigray army, if not into flight, then into a rapid retreat. So rapid, in fact, that yesterday government forces entered the Tigray capital, Mekele, located approximately 130 km from the border. They covered this distance in less than a week, or at a pace of over 20 km per day.
And without encountering any significant resistance. No, perhaps the Tigray army is simply luring the enemy into a trap (they have used this tactic before) and waiting to link up with the Eritrean army. We'll see soon.
Until anything like that happens, everything appears to be heading toward the defeat of the Tigrays and... perhaps, in the near future, the active phase of a new Eritrean-Ethiopian war. Where official Addis Ababa will try to gain independent access to the sea. Without it, the rapidly developing Ethiopian economy is simply suffocating and cannot demonstrate further success.
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