Catrix Daily | Jul 9, 2026

When ETF flows and US premium point the same way, retail should probably pay attention.

AI Forecast
BTC: Slightly Bearish 📉 43/100 | ETH: Slightly Bearish 📉 43/100

Dollar strength z=1.37 / 13w, yield curve z=-1.04 / 13w. Macro is still in risk-off mode.

⚠️ Risk: NY Fed President Williams Speech 13:00 UTC — avoid opening positions ±1h; policy/news shocks can move risk assets fast. (+2 more)

Today's Focus: Institutional Flow
→ BTC: ETF 30D -40,713 BTC, ETF 7D +7,459 BTC, CME OI -2.7% / 30d. Spot and institutional rails are not telling a friendly story.
→ ETH: Coinbase premium -0.084 (STRONG_US_SELL), CME OI -10.1% (DROP), z=-1.77. Spot and institutional rails are not telling a friendly story.

If institutions are stepping back, who is left to push the next leg?
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