🔍 Catrix Daily | Jun 29, 2026

Bottom signal, or just another trap?

🤖 AI Forecast
BTC: Bearish 📉 22/100 | ETH: Bearish 📉 28/100

Macro is still a headwind: dollar strength z=1.91, real yields near the 88th percentile (26w).

⚠️ Risk: ECB President Lagarde Speech in Sintra 16:30 UTC — avoid opening positions ±1h; policy/news shocks can move risk assets fast. (+3 more)

Today's Focus: Market Cycle
→ BTC: MVRV 1.118, Fear & Greed 18, STH NUPL -0.249. New buyers are underwater; long-term holders still refuse to sell.
→ ETH: MVRV 0.70, NUPL -0.314, SOPR 0.921 (z=-1.81). Deep capitulation, but no clean reversal yet.

Cash, hold, or adding?
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