Catrix Daily | Jun 15, 2026

BTC miners capitulating at a 180-day extreme. ETH mega-whales just added $725M in a week. Something is shifting.

AI Forecast
BTC: Slightly Bearish 📉 40/100 | ETH: Slightly Bearish 📉 33/100

Stablecoin reserves up 5.8% in 7 days after a brutal 20% monthly drop — first sign of fresh buying power re-entering.

Today's Focus: Network Security
→ BTC: Difficulty Ribbon Compression: 0.01 (0th pct of 180D) — miners at maximum stress, historically marks cycle bottoms. ETF outflow pace slowing sharply (z=-0.36 this week vs -1.90 monthly).
→ ETH: Staking Deposits Z=4.11 — validators adding stake at extreme pace despite price pain. MVRV: 0.76, still 24% below cost basis. Institutions leaving, but validators doubling down.

Are we watching the bottom form in real time?
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