Catrix Daily | Jun 11, 2026

Fear & Greed at 9. Options traders hitting 100th percentile on upside bets. Pick a side.

AI Forecast
BTC: Extreme Bearish 📉 14/100 | ETH: Bearish 📉 22/100

Real yields Z=2.42 at 100th percentile. Stablecoin reserves down 25% this month. The buying power that normally catches falling knives is gone.

Risk Event: ECB Lagarde Press Conference 12:45 UTC — rate policy signals move markets fast, avoid new positions ±1h around this window.

Today's Focus: Institutional Flow
→ BTC: ETF (Spot BTC ETF) Net Flow 30D: -73,040 BTC (Z=-2.38) — most aggressive 90-day exit on record. Mega-whale supply Z=-2.07, also reducing.
→ ETH: ETF (Spot ETH ETF) Net Flow 30D: -317K ETH. MVRV: 0.71 — 29% below cost basis, deepest in 180 days. Exchange balance down 3.1% this week. Institutions leaving, but supply leaving exchanges too.

Does cheap ETH mean anything without buyers?
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