Has Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC-ROC) become Data Science & AI/ML community’s P-Value?
Just returned from day 1 of Intelligent Health AI conference - and while there were some great speakers & talks - one thing stood out. Of the multiple talks reporting machine learning model performance, all except one talk reported AUC-ROC as the only metric - even for unbalanced datasets. It appears that the AUC-ROC metric is being misused similar to how the P-value has been misused & misinterpreted.
There is more to model evaluation than a single number. In addition to AUC-ROC, we have the Precision-Recall (PR) curve, Sensitivity (Recall), Specificity, F1-score, Positive/Negative Predictive Values, Matthews Correlation Coefficient, Calibration, and many other metrics. The graphic below presents a good summary of the various model performance / evaluation metrics (see articles & book for more details):
Regression Metrics:
https://lnkd.in/eRWvRVcClassification Metrics:
https://lnkd.in/dpYnvGhEvaluating Machine Learning Models (open-access book):
https://lnkd.in/dHcfZdP